2/17/2021

Election 2020 - 2016


































In the 2016 election there was no incumbent. Donald Trump won. Hillary Clinton was not popular and the total vote was fairly low.

The 2020 election featured Donald Trump as the incumbent. The election was a referendum on his performance in the midst of the Covid-19 Pandemic and resulting economic turmoil.

The turnout was much higher in 2020 than in 2016. The "Blue Wall" States that flipped back to the Democrats were Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Two sunbelt states that are traditionally Republican, Georgia and Arizona, also went Democrat.

The election was not a repudiation of Republicans since the Republicans picked up seats in the House, although they narrowly lost control of the Senate. It was a referendum on Donald Trump.











"The 2020 elections marked the highest voter turnout in US history, with Biden capturing more than any candidate has ever recorded.

While just four years apart, the voting demographics differed in many ways between 2016 and 2020. Biden hoped to improve upon Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton's performance in every way, and exit polls reveal he captured more young voters, more moderates, and more suburban voters, among other voting blocs."

https://www.businessinsider.com/2016-2020-electoral-maps-exit-polls-compared-2020-11

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-swing-states/


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election














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